David Duncan

NEWS:  David is current on leave from DEPI & ARI and working as a Research Fellow with colleagues at QAECO based at the University of Melbourne.

David is senior research scientist who provides leadership to research programs in forest and fire ecology, vegetation monitoring, ecological analysis and synthesis, and wetlands and waterbirds. David’s research experience covers the areas of landscape ecology, plant ecology, pollination biology and comparative evolutionary ecology. He has published broadly in applied ecology with specialist skills in ecological evaluation, native vegetation and habitat change, sustainable land use and conservation planning.

David has collaborated broadly across disciplines and institutions to apply field-based, interview and modelling approaches to applied ecological questions. He maintains strong and productive links resulting in collaborative projects with partner research institutions such as The University of Melbourne, Charles Sturt University, Australian National University, CSIRO’s Entomology and Sustainable Ecosystems divisions.  David is an ARC Linkage Partner Investigator with Drs Brendan Wintle, Peter Vesk and David Keith on the project: Adaptive Management of Native Vegetation Condition, 2011–2014.  He currently co-supervises a PhD student Chris Jones (Effects of grazing management of riparian vegetation condition change), and an Honours student Catherine Ho (Understanding the ecological and soil phyisico-chemical significance of remotely sensed radiometric soil data). Both of these supervisions are in conjunction with Dr Peter Vesk (School of Botany, University of Melbourne).

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Publications In Preparation

Duncan DH, Kyle G, Smith FP (in preparation). The magnitude and resourcing of revegetation and restoration on private land in southern Australia. Intended for Journal of Environmental Management.

Rumpff L, Vesk PA, Duncan DH, Wintle BA (in preparation). Establishment to escape: Synthesising recruitment studies with a Bayesian Network to aid cost-effective decision making. Intended for submission to Journal of Applied Ecology

In Press

Duncan DH, Vesk PA (in press) Examining change over time in habitat attributes using Bayesian reinterpretation of categorical assessments. Ecological Applications.


Fero J, Duncan DH, Spry S. (2013). Evaluating the performance of a centralised government geodatabase in capturing publicly funded NRM activities in Victoria, Australia. Australasian Journal of Environmental Management20, 101–115http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/12-1670.1

Kyle G, Duncan DH (2012). Arresting the rate of land clearing: Change in woody native vegetation cover in a changing agricultural landscape. Landscape and Urban Planning. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2012.03.004

Cunningham SA, Duncan DH, Driscoll DA (2012). Land Use Intensification Impacts on Biodiversity in the Mallee/Wheat Landscape of Central NSW. In: DB Lindenmayer, SA Cunningham, A Young (Eds.), Land use intensification and biodiversity conservation. Melbourne: CSIRO Publishing.

Kyle G, Duncan DH, Newell G (2012). Measuring change in vegetation extent at regional and property scales, in: Lefroy T, Curtis A, Jakeman T, McKee J (eds) Landscape Logic: Pattern, people and process in landscape management. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.

Rumpff L, Duncan DH, Vesk PA, Wintle BA (2012). Using a state-and-transition model to guide investment in woodland vegetation condition, in: Lefroy T, Curtis A, Jakeman T, McKee J (eds) Landscape Logic: Pattern, people and process in landscape management. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.

Read CF, Duncan DH, Vesk PA, Elith J (2011). Surprisingly fast recovery of biological soil crusts following livestock removal in southern Australia. Journal of Vegetation Science 22 905–916. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1654-1103.2011.01296.x/full

Rumpff L, Duncan DH, Vesk PA, Keith DA, Wintle BA. (2011). State-and-transition modelling for adaptive management of native woodlands. Biological Conservation 144 1224–1236.

Duncan DH, Kyle G,  Race, D. (2010). Combining facilitated dialogue and spatial data analysis to compile landscape history. Environmental Conservation 37 432–441. http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract;jsessionid=D4E41FDE57CDBE5B4939EB4BD35DED7F.journals?fromPage=online&aid=7944201

Duncan DH, Dorrough JW (2009) Historical and current land use shape landscape restoration options in the Australian wheat and sheep farming zone. Landscape and Urban Planning 91 124–132. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016920460800234X

Read CF, Duncan DH, Vesk PA, Elith J. (2008) Biological soil crust distribution is related to patterns of fragmentation and landuse in a dryland agricultural landscape of southern Australia. Landscape Ecology 231093–1105. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10980-008-9270-3?LI=true#page-1

Pettit C, Cartwright W, Bishop I, Lowell K, Pullar D, Duncan DH (eds) (2008), Landscape Analysis and Visualisation. Spatial Models for Natural Resource Management and Planning. Springer – Verlag GmbH, Berlin.

Duncan DH, Dorrough J, White M, Moxham C (2007) Blowing in the wind? Nutrient enrichment of remnant woodlands in an agricultural landscape. Landscape Ecology 23 107–119

Duncan DH, Nicotra AB, Cunningham SA (2004) High self-pollen transfer and low fruit set in buzz-pollinated Dianella revoluta (Phormiaceae). Australian Journal of Botany 52 185–193. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10980-007-9160-0?LI=true#page-1

Duncan DH, Nicotra AB, Wood JT, Cunningham SA (2004) Plant isolation reduces outcross pollen receipt of a partially self-compatible herb. Journal of Ecology 92 977–985. http://www.publish.csiro.au/paper/BT03139

Duncan DH, Wintle BA (2008) Towards adaptive management of native vegetation in regional landscapes. In: C. Pettit, W. Cartwright, I. Bishop, K. Lowell, D. Pullar and D. Duncan (eds), Landscape Analysis and Visualisation. Spatial Models for Natural Resource Management and Planning. Springer-Verlag GmbH, Berlin. http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-540-69168-6_9?LI=true

Duncan DH, Roberts N (2002) Access guide to Victoria’s parks. Vision Australia Foundation, Brighton.